Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.026035 0.028093 0.030161 0.032392 0.034726 0.037095 0.039675
2025-11-16 0.022011 0.025225 0.028575 0.032313 0.036354 0.040576 0.045308
2025-11-23 0.019351 0.023224 0.027373 0.032119 0.037367 0.042964 0.049356
2025-11-30 0.017399 0.021733 0.026488 0.032039 0.038292 0.045069 0.052924
2025-12-07 0.015532 0.020157 0.025346 0.031519 0.038590 0.046365 0.055492
2025-12-14 0.013890 0.018707 0.024226 0.030912 0.038688 0.047351 0.057635
2025-12-21 0.012396 0.017324 0.023090 0.030194 0.038578 0.048031 0.059373
2025-12-28 0.011814 0.016996 0.023160 0.030855 0.040035 0.050480 0.063108
2026-01-04 0.011009 0.016337 0.022785 0.030944 0.040788 0.052090 0.065861
2026-01-11 0.010196 0.015616 0.022290 0.030850 0.041289 0.053383 0.068228
2026-01-18 0.009796 0.015400 0.022399 0.031473 0.042637 0.055661 0.071741
2026-01-25 0.009118 0.014778 0.021964 0.031398 0.043118 0.056897 0.074020
2026-02-01 0.008405 0.014108 0.021483 0.031298 0.043626 0.058242 0.076532
2026-02-08 0.007742 0.013475 0.021033 0.031233 0.044183 0.059665 0.079171
2026-02-15 0.007090 0.012815 0.020511 0.031044 0.044559 0.060852 0.081515
2026-02-22 0.006536 0.012257 0.020095 0.030965 0.045054 0.062168 0.084006
2026-03-01 0.005879 0.011503 0.019375 0.030457 0.044978 0.062763 0.085609
2026-03-08 0.005251 0.010748 0.018617 0.029863 0.044765 0.063168 0.086962
2026-03-15 0.004646 0.009982 0.017804 0.029161 0.044383 0.063339 0.088010
2026-03-22 0.004485 0.009915 0.017985 0.029807 0.045755 0.065708 0.091773
2026-03-29 0.004177 0.009585 0.017768 0.029895 0.046385 0.067140 0.094375
2026-04-05 0.003843 0.009189 0.017434 0.029802 0.046766 0.068248 0.096572
2026-04-12 0.003713 0.009132 0.017602 0.030412 0.048081 0.070548 0.100263